Colwyn Bay
vs
Cambrian & Clydach
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colwyn Bay
3 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.06 vs 1.19.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach
| Probability | Colwyn Bay | Draw | Cambrian & Clydach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.2% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 74.2% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Colwyn Bay
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.06 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach match preview
Colwyn Bay enters the match against Cambrian & Clydach with a strong probability of winning at 74%, reflecting their recent form of D-W-L-W-W-W. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 3-1, with Colwyn Bay expected to generate 3.06 expected goals compared to Cambrian & Clydach's 1.19. Additionally, there is an 80% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Cambrian & Clydach, on the other hand, has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-L-W-L-W, leading to a lower probability of 11% for an away victory. The model also indicates a 67% likelihood that both teams will score, suggesting that while Colwyn Bay is favored, Cambrian & Clydach may still find the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.26
Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach attack and defence ratings
Colwyn Bay
Cambrian & Clydach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Colwyn Bay win | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 74.2% |
| Draw | 14.8% | |
| Cambrian & Clydach | 11.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% |
| No | 33.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colwyn Bay win | 55.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 25.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 3-0 | 6.8% |
Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach stats
Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach recent form
| Colwyn Bay |
DWLWWW |
| Cambrian & Clydach |
LLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach season so far
Colwyn Bay record
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cambrian & Clydach record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).