Flint Town United
vs
Holywell
Garuda Lions Prediction: Flint Town United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.10.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Flint Town United vs Holywell overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flint Town United vs Holywell
| Probability | Flint Town United | Draw | Holywell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.0% | 20.8% | 16.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.0% | 20.8% | 16.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Flint Town United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Flint Town United vs Holywell match preview
Flint Town United is favored to win against Holywell, with a 63% probability according to our model. The expected goals for Flint Town United are 2.28, while Holywell is projected at 1.10. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Additionally, there is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Flint Town United has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins and four losses over their last six matches. Conversely, Holywell has struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last six games, with five losses and one draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Flint Town United and Holywell expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Flint Town United and Holywell attack and defence ratings
Flint Town United
Holywell
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flint Town United vs Holywell markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint Town United | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Flint Town United win | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint Town United | 63.0% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Holywell | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flint Town United win | 41.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 37.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Flint Town United vs Holywell stats
Flint Town United and Holywell recent form
| Flint Town United |
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| Holywell |
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W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Flint Town United and Holywell season so far
Flint Town United record
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Holywell record
- They have won 0 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).