Ammanford AFC
vs
Haverfordwest County AFC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Haverfordwest County AFC
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC
| Probability | Ammanford AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County AFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.2% | 24.2% | 59.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.2% | 24.2% | 59.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Haverfordwest County AFC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.89.
Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC match preview
Ammanford AFC faces Haverfordwest County AFC in the Wales Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 30, 2026. According to our model, Ammanford has a 16% chance of winning, while Haverfordwest is favored with a 60% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring at an 11% likelihood. Expected goals are estimated at 0.89 for Ammanford and 1.87 for Haverfordwest, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, Ammanford's last six matches show two wins, three losses, and one draw, while Haverfordwest has experienced a mixed run with two wins and four losses in their last six games. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability that both teams will score in this matchup, reflecting a potentially competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ammanford AFC and Haverfordwest County AFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Ammanford AFC and Haverfordwest County AFC attack and defence ratings
Ammanford AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ammanford AFC | 16.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 59.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haverfordwest County AFC win | 35.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 40.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 0-2 | 11.1% | |
| 0-1 | 10.8% |
Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC stats
Ammanford AFC and Haverfordwest County AFC recent form
| Ammanford AFC |
LWWLLD |
| Haverfordwest County AFC |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ammanford AFC and Haverfordwest County AFC season so far
Ammanford AFC record
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haverfordwest County AFC record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.9 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 13 matches.