The New Saints
vs
Cambrian & Clydach
9 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | J. Lock | ||
| 14′ | B. Young | ||
| 15′ | R. Hughes | ||
| 17′ | R. Holden | ||
| 22′ | R. Hughes | ||
| 46′ | K. AbsalomM. Morgan | ||
| 48′ | B. Young | ||
| 61′ | D. RedmondZ. Nolan | ||
| 61′ | J. LockI. Jefferies | ||
| 61′ | R. HughesA. Wilson | ||
| 62′ | R. Holden | ||
| 64′ | I. Jefferies | ||
| 67′ | B. YoungJ. Williams | ||
| 67′ | D. DaviesE. Farrell | ||
| 71′ | J. Morris | ||
| 72′ | K. LewisJ. Karadogan | ||
| 72′ | A. JohnJ. Allen | ||
| 72′ | F. ThomasJ. Joseph | ||
| 73′ | J. Allen | ||
| 77′ | J. Allen | ||
| 86′ | J. Williams |
The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach
| Probability | The New Saints | Draw | Cambrian & Clydach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.1% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| Market | 85.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Final | 84.7% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Edge | -4.7% | +2.5% | +2.2% |
Why The New Saints
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
The New Saints and Cambrian & Clydach expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.39
The New Saints and Cambrian & Clydach attack and defence ratings
The New Saints
Cambrian & Clydach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach: result vs prediction
The New Saints 9 – 0 Cambrian & Clydach
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 84.7% | 1.18 | -4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 84.7% |
| Draw | 9.9% | |
| Cambrian & Clydach | 5.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 15.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win | 64.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 18.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.1% |
| 3-0 | 7.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach stats
The New Saints and Cambrian & Clydach recent form
| The New Saints |
WWWWWW |
| Cambrian & Clydach |
WLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
The New Saints and Cambrian & Clydach going into this match
The New Saints record
- They have won 10 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Cambrian & Clydach record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-16 | Cambrian & Clydach | The New Saints | Welsh Cup | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
The New Saints vs Cambrian & Clydach odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 85.8%, draw 9.3%, away 4.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.03 | 10.50 | 20.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.10 | 8.50 | 19.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.04 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.11 | 7.60 | 14.00 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 10.50 | 21.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.03 | 10.50 | 20.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.08 | 11.43 | 16.93 |
| SBO | 1.09 | 7.91 | 12.04 |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .