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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell

2 – 1 Full time

14′J. Reed
37′L. Eason
46′J. ReedM. Winslade
48′L. Eason
61′Holywell
69′F. Thomas
70′A. JohnK. Lewis
70′C. HughesJ. Karadogan
71′F. ThomasA. Bonthron
71′J. SconceO. Davies
71′C. BedfordF. Murtas
78′J. BeecherJ. Morris
83′F. Yonsian
85′D. McGiveron
90′D. McGiveronT. Dogan
90′H. MorrisS. Baker
90′L. EasonJ. Joseph

Referee: R. Kenny

Cambrian & Clydach 65%
Draw 18%
Holywell 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCambrian & ClydachDrawHolywell
Model67.5%16.7%15.7%
Market64.5%18.3%17.2%
Final65.3%17.9%16.8%
Edge+3.0%-1.5%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Cambrian & Clydach

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.94 vs 1.44.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cambrian & Clydach below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cambrian & Cly ↓ / Holywell → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 8% 3 8% 4+ 8% 12% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Cambrian & Clydach and Holywell expected goals

Cambrian & Clydach 2.94
Holywell 1.44

Total expected goals: 4.38

Cambrian & Clydach and Holywell attack and defence ratings

Cambrian & Clydach

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Holywell

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.91 +91%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell: result vs prediction

Cambrian & Clydach 2 – 1 Holywell

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cambrian & Clydach 65.3% 1.53 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.2% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.8% 1.37 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.2% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Cambrian & Clydach win 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cambrian & Clydach65.3%
Draw17.9%
Holywell16.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.2%
Under 2.518.8%
Both teams to scoreYes72.8%
No27.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.2%
12 (either side)82.1%
X2 (draw or away)34.7%
Handicap -1Cambrian & Clydach win48.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss32.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.8%
3-17.6%
1-15.8%

Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell stats

Cambrian & Clydach and Holywell recent form

newest first
Cambrian & Clydach DDLWWD
Holywell DLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cambrian & Clydach and Holywell going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cambrian & Clydach record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Holywell record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Holywell odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.2%, draw 19.0%, away 17.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 4.95 5.46
Bet365 1.38 5.00 5.25
BetVictor 1.40 3.80 4.50
Dafabet 1.49 4.70 5.40
Marathonbet 1.39 4.95 5.30
Pinnacle 1.48 5.34 4.66
Superbet 1.48 4.50 5.10
Unibet 1.48 4.25 4.90
William Hill 1.44 4.80 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.08
X 4.95 ▲ +0.53
2 5.25 ▲ +0.10

8 snapshots recorded, from .