Wales Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Haverfordwest County AFC
vs
Briton Ferry
3 – 1 Full time
| 49′ | M. Bates | ||
| 59′ | C. Hurford | ||
| 60′ | L. ReesB. Ahmun | ||
| 65′ | J. Owen | ||
| 65′ | C. Hurford | ||
| 68′ | T. WaltersL. Herdman | ||
| 68′ | J. HackettJ. Wilson | ||
| 68′ | C. HurfordD. Packer | ||
| 70′ | T. Price | ||
| 70′ | D. Hawkins | ||
| 76′ | C. Shephard | ||
| 82′ | L. CooperT. Cadeau | ||
| 83′ | C. ShephardC. Twose | ||
| 84′ | R. Abbruzzese |
Haverfordwest County AFC
40%
Draw
28%
Briton Ferry
32%
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry
| Probability | Haverfordwest County AFC | Draw | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.6% | 33.2% | 33.2% |
| Market | 41.7% | 26.8% | 31.5% |
| Final | 39.7% | 28.4% | 31.9% |
| Edge | -8.1% | +6.5% | +1.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
14%
Haverfordwest County AFC and Briton Ferry expected goals
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.02
Briton Ferry
1.01
Total expected goals: 2.03
Haverfordwest County AFC and Briton Ferry attack and defence ratings
Haverfordwest County AFC
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Briton Ferry
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry: result vs prediction
Haverfordwest County AFC 3 – 1 Briton Ferry
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Barry Town v Llandudno — match page
- Ammanford AFC vs Caernarfon Town — team news & stats
- Cambrian & Clydach v Holywell — match page
- Airbus UK vs The New Saints — team news & stats
- Flint Town United v Cardiff MET — match page
- Trefelin vs Penybont — team news & stats
- Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
Before and after this match
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 39.7% | 2.52 | -8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 39.7% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Briton Ferry | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haverfordwest County AFC win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 66.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-0 | 12.0% |
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry stats
Haverfordwest County AFC and Briton Ferry recent form
| Haverfordwest County AFC |
DWLLLL |
| Briton Ferry |
LLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Haverfordwest County AFC and Briton Ferry going into this match
Haverfordwest County AFC record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Briton Ferry record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
8Haverfordwest County AFC wins
0Draws
2Briton Ferry wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Briton Ferry | Wales Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Briton Ferry | Haverfordwest County AFC | Wales Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-13 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Briton Ferry | Wales Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Briton Ferry | Haverfordwest County AFC | Wales Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-04 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Briton Ferry | Premier League | 5-1 |
| 2024-10-15 | Briton Ferry | Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2019-11-22 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Briton Ferry | FAW Championship | 1-4 |
| 2019-08-31 | Briton Ferry | Haverfordwest County AFC | FAW Championship | 2-4 |
| 2018-12-22 | Briton Ferry | Haverfordwest County AFC | FAW Championship | 0-3 |
| 2018-09-01 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Briton Ferry | FAW Championship | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 26.8%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.38 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.45 | 3.55 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.38 | 2.84 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.54 | 2.82 |
| Superbet | 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 3.35 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.17 ▼ -0.25
X
3.38 ▼ -0.07
2
2.87 ▲ +0.29
6 snapshots recorded, from .