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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town

1 – 4 Full time

7′L. Bowen
25′A. Gammond
30′E. Dugan
39′E. Dugan
45′J. Jones
46′R. GeorgeT. Jenkins
46′L. BowenL. Herdman
56′J. CrosbieN. Daley
56′R. Owen
62′O. Brain
65′J. LesterC. Sainty
67′E. Dugan
68′A. GammondC. Hurford
70′R. Owen
74′R. OwenJ. Lloyd
74′O. BrainD. Barton
74′E. DuganD. Smith
83′T. PriceM. Nicholls

Old Road, Briton FerryReferee: J. A. Jones

Briton Ferry 27%
Draw 28%
Barry Town 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Briton Ferry vs Barry Town

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBriton FerryDrawBarry Town
Model25.8%30.6%43.6%
Market27.6%26.5%45.9%
Final27.1%27.5%45.3%
Edge-1.8%+4.2%-2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Barry Town

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Briton Ferry ↓ / Barry Town → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 12% 9% 1 9% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Briton Ferry and Barry Town expected goals

Briton Ferry 0.95
Barry Town 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.26

Briton Ferry and Barry Town attack and defence ratings

Briton Ferry

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Barry Town

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town: result vs prediction

Briton Ferry 1 – 4 Barry Town

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barry Town 45.3% 2.21 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.4% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Briton Ferry27.1%
Draw27.5%
Barry Town45.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.2%
No53.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.7%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)72.9%
Handicap -1Barry Town win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss56.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-112.3%
0-011.7%

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town stats

Briton Ferry and Barry Town recent form

newest first
Briton Ferry LWLDWW
Barry Town WWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Briton Ferry and Barry Town going into this match

league record before kick-off

Briton Ferry record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Barry Town record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Briton Ferry wins 2Draws 4Barry Town wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-31Briton FerryBarry TownWales Premier League2-1
2025-10-07Barry TownBriton FerryWales Premier League0-1
2025-04-19Barry TownBriton FerryPremier League5-0
2025-03-07Briton FerryBarry TownPremier League3-4
2024-12-31Briton FerryBarry TownPremier League0-0
2024-10-12Barry TownBriton FerryPremier League3-1
2023-03-10Briton FerryBarry TownFAW Championship1-1
2022-08-12Barry TownBriton FerryFAW Championship0-1
2015-10-03Briton FerryBarry TownWelsh Cup2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 26.5%, away 45.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.25 3.50 1.95
1xBet 3.28 3.42 1.99
Bet365 3.20 3.50 1.95
BetVictor 2.90 3.25 1.83
Betano 3.30 3.55 2.02
Betfair 3.10 3.60 1.95
Dafabet 3.40 3.50 2.04
Marathonbet 3.22 3.42 1.97
Pinnacle 3.42 3.60 1.97
SBO 3.08 3.23 1.94
Superbet 3.30 3.40 2.02
Unibet 3.35 3.30 1.92
William Hill 3.30 3.30 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.28 ▲ +0.38
X 3.42 ▲ +0.12
2 1.97 ▼ -0.27

4 snapshots recorded, from .