Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Airbus UK vs Holywell

6 – 2 Full time

15′J. Palmer
23′F. Yonsian
29′J. Stevenson
34′R. Edwards
39′M. Blackwell-Jones
45′K. Cooke
48′T. Bibby
51′T. DoganS. Baker
63′F. Yonsian
64′G. Peers
66′K. Cooke
68′N. Williams
72′K. Cooke
73′M. WinsladeF. Murtas
73′J. SconceO. Davies
74′J. RobertsO. Lancely
74′J. PalmerS. Moscrop
79′S. Baker
82′K. CookeJ. Hughes
82′J. EvansO. Calland
82′F. YonsianJ. Reed
82′H. MorrisC. Bedford

The Airfield, BroughtonReferee: R. Jenkins

Airbus UK 57%
Draw 21%
Holywell 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Airbus UK vs Holywell overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Airbus UK vs Holywell

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAirbus UKDrawHolywell
Model58.1%20.4%21.5%
Market57.2%21.5%21.3%
Final57.4%21.2%21.3%
Edge+0.9%-1.1%+0.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Airbus UK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.46.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Airbus UK ↓ / Holywell → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 5% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 8% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Airbus UK and Holywell expected goals

Airbus UK 2.42
Holywell 1.46

Total expected goals: 3.88

Airbus UK and Holywell attack and defence ratings

Airbus UK

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Holywell

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.86 +86%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Airbus UK vs Holywell: result vs prediction

Airbus UK 6 – 2 Holywell

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Airbus UK vs Holywell markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Airbus UK 57.4% 1.74 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.4% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.7% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.9% 2.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Airbus UK57.4%
Draw21.2%
Holywell21.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.4%
Under 2.525.6%
Both teams to scoreYes70.7%
No29.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.7%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)42.6%
Handicap -1Airbus UK win38.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss41.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.8%
1-18.0%
3-17.1%

Airbus UK vs Holywell stats

Airbus UK and Holywell recent form

newest first
Airbus UK LLWLW
Holywell LLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Airbus UK and Holywell going into this match

league record before kick-off

Airbus UK record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Holywell record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Airbus UK vs Holywell head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Airbus UK wins 2Draws 2Holywell wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03HolywellAirbus UKFAW Championship0-3
2025-10-03Airbus UKHolywellFAW Championship0-0
2025-01-25HolywellAirbus UKFAW Championship2-1
2024-10-25Airbus UKHolywellFAW Championship8-3
2023-12-16HolywellAirbus UKFAW Championship1-2
2023-11-04Airbus UKHolywellFAW Championship1-1
2022-04-18HolywellAirbus UKFAW Championship3-2
2021-10-09Airbus UKHolywellFAW Championship6-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Airbus UK vs Holywell odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.2%, draw 21.5%, away 21.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.64 4.10 4.10
1xBet 1.55 4.45 4.34
Bet365 1.57 4.20 4.33
BetVictor 1.50 3.60 3.90
Betano 1.65 4.15 4.25
Betfair 1.55 4.33 4.33
Dafabet 1.64 4.30 4.50
Marathonbet 1.53 4.45 4.30
Pinnacle 1.65 4.85 3.77
SBO 1.54 3.84 4.22
Superbet 1.63 4.10 4.25
Unibet 1.58 4.00 4.30
William Hill 1.62 4.40 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.58 ▲ +0.01
X 4.20 —
2 4.25 ▼ -0.55

4 snapshots recorded, from .