Ammanford AFC
vs
Cardiff MET
0 – 5 Full time
| 9′ | M. McKenzie | ||
| 12′ | C. Bell | ||
| 31′ | H. Rowe | ||
| 34′ | H. Rowe | ||
| 43′ | J. Payne | ||
| 59′ | H. JohnS. Snaith | ||
| 61′ | S. Snaith | ||
| 64′ | C. L. DaviesL. Sylvester | ||
| 65′ | A. OrmeL. Owen | ||
| 70′ | S. Snaith | ||
| 72′ | L. Mwandwe | ||
| 74′ | M. DelaneyM. Fisher | ||
| 74′ | J. EvansC. Shirt | ||
| 74′ | M. McKenzieH. Matthews | ||
| 75′ | C. CravenB. Gaughan | ||
| 79′ | S. Snaith | ||
| 82′ | A. DaviesW. Howard | ||
| 83′ | L. MwandweM. Ford | ||
| 84′ | E. GriffithsH. Lloyd |
Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff MET overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff MET
| Probability | Ammanford AFC | Draw | Cardiff MET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.3% | 26.5% | 47.2% |
| Market | 17.8% | 23.6% | 58.6% |
| Final | 19.9% | 24.3% | 55.8% |
| Edge | +8.5% | +3.0% | -11.4% |
Why Cardiff MET
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET attack and defence ratings
Ammanford AFC
Cardiff MET
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff MET: result vs prediction
Ammanford AFC 0 – 5 Cardiff MET
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff MET markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff MET | 55.8% | 1.79 | -11.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ammanford AFC | 19.9% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Cardiff MET | 55.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cardiff MET win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff MET stats
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET recent form
| Ammanford AFC |
DLLDL |
| Cardiff MET |
WLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET going into this match
Ammanford AFC record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cardiff MET record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff MET head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-19 | Ammanford AFC | Cardiff MET | League Cup | 0-3 |
| 2021-08-06 | Ammanford AFC | Cardiff MET | League Cup | 0-4 |
| 2014-11-08 | Ammanford AFC | Cardiff MET | Welsh Cup | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff MET odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.8%, draw 23.6%, away 58.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.00 | 3.95 | 1.55 |
| 1xBet | 5.31 | 3.76 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.40 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.47 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.10 | 1.56 |
| Marathonbet | 5.25 | 3.76 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 5.66 | 4.01 | 1.53 |
| SBO | 5.03 | 3.62 | 1.49 |
| Superbet | 5.10 | 3.90 | 1.55 |
| Unibet | 4.90 | 3.60 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .