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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC

1 – 1 Full time

Ynys Park, CwmafanReferee: A. D. Livesey

Trefelin 43%
Draw 25%
Ammanford AFC 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrefelinDrawAmmanford AFC
Model19.2%25.6%55.2%
Market50.4%25.3%24.2%
Final42.6%25.4%32.0%
Edge-31.2%+0.2%+31.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trefelin ↓ / Ammanford AFC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 10% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Trefelin and Ammanford AFC expected goals

Trefelin 0.96
Ammanford AFC 1.77

Total expected goals: 2.73

Trefelin and Ammanford AFC attack and defence ratings

Trefelin

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 1.64 +64%

Ammanford AFC

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC: result vs prediction

Trefelin 1 – 1 Ammanford AFC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Trefelin 42.6% 2.35 -31.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.3% 1.91 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 80.8% 1.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trefelin42.6%
Draw25.4%
Ammanford AFC32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%
Both teams to scoreYes52.3%
No47.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Trefelin win7.0%
Push (exactly one goal)12.2%
Loss80.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
0-110.5%
0-210.2%

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC stats

Trefelin and Ammanford AFC recent form

newest first
Trefelin LLLL
Ammanford AFC LLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Trefelin and Ammanford AFC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Trefelin record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Ammanford AFC record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Trefelin wins 4Draws 2Ammanford AFC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-23Ammanford AFCTrefelinFAW Championship0-4
2025-09-12TrefelinAmmanford AFCFAW Championship2-0
2025-03-21Ammanford AFCTrefelinFAW Championship1-2
2024-11-22TrefelinAmmanford AFCFAW Championship0-1
2024-02-27TrefelinAmmanford AFCFAW Championship1-2
2023-12-15Ammanford AFCTrefelinFAW Championship1-1
2023-10-13TrefelinAmmanford AFCWelsh Cup2-2
2023-08-05TrefelinAmmanford AFCLeague Cup2-2
2023-02-17Ammanford AFCTrefelinFAW Championship1-1
2022-11-18TrefelinAmmanford AFCFAW Championship4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 25.3%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.77 3.65 3.80
1xBet 1.80 3.54 3.82
Bet365 1.73 3.80 3.70
Betano 1.85 3.50 3.65
Betfair 1.75 3.80 3.80
Dafabet 1.86 3.65 3.85
Marathonbet 1.80 3.58 3.64
Pinnacle 1.84 3.73 3.75
Superbet 1.85 3.55 3.75
William Hill 1.83 3.50 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▼ -0.23
X 3.62 ▲ +0.04
2 3.77 ▲ +0.77

10 snapshots recorded, from .