GAP Connah S Quay FC
vs
Cambrian & Clydach
3 – 0 Full time
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach
| Probability | GAP Connah S Quay FC | Draw | Cambrian & Clydach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 28.4% | 29.2% |
| Market | 63.6% | 21.0% | 15.4% |
| Final | 58.3% | 22.8% | 18.8% |
| Edge | -21.2% | +7.4% | +13.8% |
Why GAP Connah S Quay FC
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach attack and defence ratings
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Cambrian & Clydach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach: result vs prediction
GAP Connah S Quay FC 3 – 0 Cambrian & Clydach
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 58.3% | 1.71 | -21.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 58.3% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Cambrian & Clydach | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | GAP Connah S Quay FC win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.0% |
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach stats
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach recent form
| GAP Connah S Quay FC |
WWWLLD |
| Cambrian & Clydach |
WWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach going into this match
GAP Connah S Quay FC record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Cambrian & Clydach record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.6%, draw 21.0%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.45 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.40 | 6.53 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.75 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.40 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.49 | 6.07 |
| Superbet | 1.46 | 4.35 | 5.60 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .