Llandudno
vs
Haverfordwest County AFC
2 – 0 Full time
Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County AFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County AFC
| Probability | Llandudno | Draw | Haverfordwest County AFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 22.9% | 15.7% |
| Market | 47.9% | 24.1% | 28.0% |
| Final | 51.3% | 23.8% | 24.9% |
| Edge | +13.5% | -1.3% | -12.3% |
Why Llandudno
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Llandudno below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Llandudno and Haverfordwest County AFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Llandudno and Haverfordwest County AFC attack and defence ratings
Llandudno
Haverfordwest County AFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County AFC: result vs prediction
Llandudno 2 – 0 Haverfordwest County AFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County AFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llandudno | 51.3% | 1.95 | +13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llandudno | 51.3% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Llandudno win | 38.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County AFC stats
Llandudno and Haverfordwest County AFC recent form
| Llandudno |
LWWW |
| Haverfordwest County AFC |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Llandudno and Haverfordwest County AFC going into this match
Llandudno record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Haverfordwest County AFC record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County AFC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-21 | Llandudno | Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2015-09-12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Llandudno | Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llandudno vs Haverfordwest County AFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 24.1%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.78 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.80 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.85 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.78 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.98 | 3.32 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .