Colwyn Bay
vs
Llandudno
2 – 0 Full time
| 39′ | S. Hart | ||
| 45′ | A. Davies | ||
| 62′ | J. PownallM. Cadwallader | ||
| 63′ | A. StephensC. Morris | ||
| 69′ | N. Grogan | ||
| 69′ | E. Roberts | ||
| 70′ | A. Davies | ||
| 72′ | J. DaviesJ. Williams | ||
| 74′ | M. Williams | ||
| 75′ | C. Morris | ||
| 76′ | D. PooleJ. Kenny | ||
| 76′ | A. DaviesM. Hill | ||
| 84′ | L. HughesB. Maher | ||
| 85′ | L. HigginsC. Ruberto |
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno
| Probability | Colwyn Bay | Draw | Llandudno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.7% | 23.0% | 60.3% |
| Market | 42.2% | 27.5% | 30.3% |
| Final | 35.8% | 26.4% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -25.6% | -4.5% | +30.0% |
Why Llandudno
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 5 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Llandudno below the model: +30.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colwyn Bay and Llandudno expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Colwyn Bay and Llandudno attack and defence ratings
Colwyn Bay
Llandudno
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno: result vs prediction
Colwyn Bay 2 – 0 Llandudno
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llandudno | 37.8% | 2.65 | +30.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 35.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Llandudno | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Llandudno win | 37.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 39.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 0-2 | 10.2% | |
| 1-2 | 10.0% |
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno stats
Colwyn Bay and Llandudno recent form
| Colwyn Bay |
LWLDWD |
| Llandudno |
WLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colwyn Bay and Llandudno going into this match
Colwyn Bay record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Llandudno record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Colwyn Bay | Llandudno | FAW Championship | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-16 | Llandudno | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Colwyn Bay | Llandudno | FAW Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-29 | Llandudno | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 2-2 |
| 2022-03-11 | Llandudno | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-02 | Colwyn Bay | Llandudno | FAW Championship | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-28 | Llandudno | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 2-3 |
| 2019-08-31 | Colwyn Bay | Llandudno | FAW Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 27.5%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.30 | 3.04 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.35 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.30 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.42 | 3.09 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.12 | 2.85 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .