Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont

2 – 2 Full time

21′H. Bright
30′C. Venables
30′L. Eason
31′L. Eason
41′R. Hill
45′A. Evans
58′M. Davies
63′D. Edwards
64′J. AllenA. John
70′E. VaughanO. Pritchard
70′C. VenablesI. Phillips
70′T. WalkerE. Cann
70′J. LekoD. Jefferies
72′D. Jefferies
72′A. EvansD. Hillman
72′J. KaradoganK. Lewis
74′L. Eason
74′L. Eason
77′I. Phillips
80′F. ThomasJ. Morris
88′O. Pritchard
90′A. John

Referee: B. Williams

Cambrian & Clydach 27%
Draw 28%
Penybont 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCambrian & ClydachDrawPenybont
Model34.2%33.2%32.7%
Market24.1%26.5%49.4%
Final26.6%28.2%45.2%
Edge+10.1%+6.7%-16.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Penybont

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cambrian & Cly ↓ / Penybont → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Cambrian & Clydach and Penybont expected goals

Cambrian & Clydach 1.03
Penybont 1.01

Total expected goals: 2.04

Cambrian & Clydach and Penybont attack and defence ratings

Cambrian & Clydach

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Penybont

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont: result vs prediction

Cambrian & Clydach 2 – 2 Penybont

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Penybont 45.2% 2.21 -16.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.6% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score No 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.3% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cambrian & Clydach26.6%
Draw28.2%
Penybont45.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.4%
Under 2.566.6%
Both teams to scoreYes42.2%
No57.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.8%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)73.4%
Handicap -1Penybont win12.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss67.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.3%
1-012.1%

Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont stats

Cambrian & Clydach and Penybont recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Cambrian & Clydach and Penybont going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cambrian & Clydach record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Penybont record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Cambrian & Clydach wins 0Draws 5Penybont wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-21Cambrian & ClydachPenybontWelsh Cup1-3
2021-09-24Cambrian & ClydachPenybontWelsh Cup1-3
2021-07-12Cambrian & ClydachPenybontFriendlies Clubs3-5
2019-03-30Cambrian & ClydachPenybontFAW Championship1-2
2018-09-28PenybontCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship5-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.1%, draw 26.5%, away 49.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.65 3.45 1.85
1xBet 3.95 3.48 1.79
Bet365 3.50 3.60 1.83
BetVictor 3.40 3.10 1.73
Betano 3.80 3.45 1.90
Betfair 3.80 3.60 1.80
Dafabet 3.90 3.50 1.90
Marathonbet 3.88 3.48 1.77
Pinnacle 3.89 3.54 1.85
SBO 3.50 3.18 1.82
Superbet 3.75 3.40 1.90
Unibet 3.40 3.20 1.94
William Hill 3.90 3.30 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.80 ▼ -0.10
X 3.45 ▼ -0.03
2 1.85 ▲ +0.05

2 snapshots recorded, from .