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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Barry Town vs Airbus UK

4 – 2 Full time

Jenner Park, BarryReferee: C. Charlton-Fleming

Barry Town 51%
Draw 26%
Airbus UK 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Barry Town vs Airbus UK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barry Town vs Airbus UK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarry TownDrawAirbus UK
Model45.7%32.0%22.3%
Market53.2%24.6%22.2%
Final51.4%26.5%22.2%
Edge-7.5%+7.4%+0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Barry Town

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barry Town ↓ / Airbus UK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 15% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Barry Town and Airbus UK expected goals

Barry Town 1.25
Airbus UK 0.79

Total expected goals: 2.04

Barry Town and Airbus UK attack and defence ratings

Barry Town

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Airbus UK

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barry Town vs Airbus UK: result vs prediction

Barry Town 4 – 2 Airbus UK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Barry Town vs Airbus UK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barry Town 51.4% 1.95 -7.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score No 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.8% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barry Town51.4%
Draw26.5%
Airbus UK22.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.3%
Under 2.566.7%
Both teams to scoreYes40.2%
No59.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.8%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)48.6%
Handicap -1Barry Town win21.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss54.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.0%
0-014.3%
1-114.1%

Barry Town vs Airbus UK stats

Barry Town and Airbus UK recent form

newest first
Barry Town WWWWDL
Airbus UK LWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barry Town and Airbus UK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Barry Town record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Airbus UK record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Barry Town vs Airbus UK head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Barry Town wins 0Draws 0Airbus UK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-10-26Barry TownAirbus UKPremier League2-0
2019-09-14Airbus UKBarry TownPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Barry Town vs Airbus UK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.2%, draw 24.6%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.60 4.20
1xBet 1.71 3.70 4.11
Bet365 1.67 3.75 3.90
Betano 1.72 3.70 3.95
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.33
Dafabet 1.72 3.90 4.30
Marathonbet 1.69 3.70 4.05
Superbet 1.71 3.75 4.15
Unibet 1.76 3.55 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.71 ▲ +0.12
X 3.70 ▼ -0.25
2 4.11 ▼ -0.55

10 snapshots recorded, from .