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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry

3 – 0 Full time

Cyncoed Campus, CardiffReferee: D. Morgan

Cardiff MET 37%
Draw 27%
Briton Ferry 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCardiff METDrawBriton Ferry
Model22.1%28.9%49.0%
Market41.4%26.2%32.4%
Final36.6%26.9%36.5%
Edge-19.2%+2.6%+16.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cardiff MET ↓ / Briton Ferry → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 10% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry expected goals

Cardiff MET 0.91
Briton Ferry 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.39

Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry attack and defence ratings

Cardiff MET

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Briton Ferry

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry: result vs prediction

Cardiff MET 3 – 0 Briton Ferry

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cardiff MET 36.6% 2.74 -19.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.9% 1.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cardiff MET36.6%
Draw26.9%
Briton Ferry36.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.7%
Under 2.557.3%
Both teams to scoreYes47.4%
No52.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.5%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Cardiff MET win7.9%
Push (exactly one goal)14.2%
Loss77.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-112.3%
0-010.4%

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry stats

Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry recent form

newest first
Cardiff MET LLWWDL
Briton Ferry WLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cardiff MET and Briton Ferry going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cardiff MET record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Briton Ferry record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Cardiff MET wins 2Draws 3Briton Ferry wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03Briton FerryCardiff METWales Premier League3-1
2026-03-16Cardiff METBriton FerryWales Premier League0-2
2025-12-16Cardiff METBriton FerryWales Premier League2-2
2025-08-15Briton FerryCardiff METWales Premier League1-1
2024-12-26Cardiff METBriton FerryPremier League1-3
2024-08-23Briton FerryCardiff METPremier League1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 26.2%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.50 2.75
1xBet 2.19 3.38 2.88
Bet365 2.10 3.50 2.80
Betfair 2.20 3.50 2.80
Dafabet 2.28 3.55 2.85
Marathonbet 2.17 3.38 2.83
Pinnacle 2.21 3.50 2.93
Superbet 2.25 3.45 2.80
Unibet 2.20 3.30 2.75
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▲ +0.06
X 3.48 ▼ -0.02
2 2.81 ▼ -0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .