Chirundu Utd
vs
Kabwe Warriors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors
| Probability | Chirundu Utd | Draw | Kabwe Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 35.7% | 28.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.6% | 35.7% | 28.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors match preview
Chirundu Utd faces Kabwe Warriors in an upcoming Zambia Super League match on October 15, 2026. According to our model, both teams have a 36% probability of a draw, while Chirundu Utd has a 36% chance of winning and Kabwe Warriors 29%. The expected goals for Chirundu Utd is 0.95, while Kabwe Warriors is slightly lower at 0.82. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, which has an 18% probability.
In terms of recent form, Chirundu Utd has lost their latest match, while Kabwe Warriors have recorded a draw and three losses in their last five games, alongside one win. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this match is estimated at 26%, and both teams scoring is projected at 36%. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chirundu Utd and Kabwe Warriors expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.78
Chirundu Utd and Kabwe Warriors attack and defence ratings
Chirundu Utd
Kabwe Warriors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chirundu Utd | 35.6% |
| Draw | 35.7% | |
| Kabwe Warriors | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.8% |
| No | 64.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chirundu Utd win | 13.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.3% |
| 1-0 | 14.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors stats
Chirundu Utd and Kabwe Warriors recent form
| Chirundu Utd |
L |
| Kabwe Warriors |
DLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.