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DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 32

Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus

1 – 6 Full time

4′M. Anderson
44′K. Jorgensen
44′T. Bech
46′C. RoslerF. Emmery
47′C. McCowatt
49′F. Emmery
54′J. DentaC. Kold
55′K. JorgensenK. Laage-Petersen
55′F. PerlmanP. Dam
55′T. BechJ. Serra
55′M. AndersonS. Jorgensen
59′F. Emmery
63′C. McCowattJ. Bogere
63′J. HansenM. Terkelsen
65′D. L. GretarssonF. Tingager
69′F. LevinsenM. Maymann
80′C. Kold
86′S. Tchamche
90′J. Andersen

Osterbro Stadium, Copenhagen

Skjold Sæby 44%
Draw 25%
Aarhus 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySkjold SæbyDrawAarhus
Model44.4%25.1%30.6%
Market———
Final44.4%25.1%30.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Skjold Sæby

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.44.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Skjold Sæby ↓ / Aarhus → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Skjold Sæby and Aarhus expected goals

Skjold Sæby 1.79
Aarhus 1.44

Total expected goals: 3.23

Skjold Sæby and Aarhus attack and defence ratings

Skjold Sæby

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Aarhus

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus: result vs prediction

Skjold Sæby 1 – 6 Aarhus

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Skjold Sæby 44.4% 2.25 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.5% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.2% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Skjold Sæby44.4%
Draw25.1%
Aarhus30.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.5%
No35.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.4%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Skjold Sæby win24.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss55.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.1%
1-27.4%

Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus stats

Skjold Sæby and Aarhus recent form

newest first
Skjold Sæby WWLW
Aarhus LDLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Skjold Sæby vs Aarhus odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.