Boston United
vs
Scunthorpe
1 – 3 Full time
| 12′ | Scunthorpe | ||
| 45′ | Scunthorpe | ||
| 61′ | Boston United | ||
| 70′ | Scunthorpe | ||
| 81′ | Boston United | ||
| 87′ | Boston United | ||
| 88′ | Scunthorpe |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
Boston United vs Scunthorpe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Boston United vs Scunthorpe
| Probability | Boston United | Draw | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.0% | 22.7% | 55.3% |
| Market | 41.2% | 26.1% | 32.8% |
| Final | 36.4% | 25.2% | 38.4% |
| Edge | -4.8% | -0.9% | +5.6% |
Why Scunthorpe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Scunthorpe below our published probability: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Boston United and Scunthorpe expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Boston United and Scunthorpe attack and defence ratings
Boston United
Scunthorpe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Boston United vs Scunthorpe: result vs prediction
Boston United 1 – 3 Scunthorpe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Boston United vs Scunthorpe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Scunthorpe | 38.4% | 2.60 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boston United | 36.4% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Scunthorpe | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% |
| No | 35.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Scunthorpe win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.5% |
Boston United vs Scunthorpe stats
Boston United and Scunthorpe recent form
| Boston United |
LLDWD |
| Scunthorpe |
LWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Boston United vs Scunthorpe head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Scunthorpe | Boston United | National League | 3-6 |
| 2025-10-18 | Boston United | Scunthorpe | National League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Scunthorpe | Boston United | National League - North - Play-offs | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Boston United vs Scunthorpe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 26.1%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.44 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.44 | 2.74 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .