Dover
vs
Dorking Wanderers
3 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | Dorking Wanderers | ||
| 11′ | Dover | ||
| 15′ | Dorking Wanderers | ||
| 19′ | Dover | ||
| 22′ | Dover | ||
| 48′ | Dover | ||
| 63′ | Dorking Wanderers | ||
| 67′ | Dover | ||
| 92′ | Dorking Wanderers | ||
| 95′ | Dorking Wanderers |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 29 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 12 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dover vs Dorking Wanderers
| Probability | Dover | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.6% | 20.7% | 42.6% |
| Market | 30.1% | 25.1% | 44.9% |
| Final | 31.7% | 24.0% | 44.3% |
| Edge | +6.6% | -4.3% | -2.3% |
Why Dorking Wanderers
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dover and Dorking Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.42
Dover and Dorking Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Dover
Dorking Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers: result vs prediction
Dover 3 – 2 Dorking Wanderers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dorking Wanderers | 44.3% | 2.26 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dover | 31.7% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Dorking Wanderers | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.7% |
| No | 20.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dorking Wanderers win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.2% |
| 1-2 | 6.7% | |
| 1-1 | 6.5% |
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers stats
Dover and Dorking Wanderers recent form
| Dover |
WWLLD |
| Dorking Wanderers |
WWDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Dover | Dorking Wanderers | National League - South | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-10 | Dorking Wanderers | Dover | National League - South | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Dover | Dorking Wanderers | National League - South | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.1%, draw 25.1%, away 44.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.02 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.94 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .