Leiston
vs
Guiseley AFC
0 – 3 Full time
| 32′ | Guiseley AFC | ||
| 37′ | Guiseley AFC | ||
| 41′ | Guiseley AFC | ||
| 47′ | Leiston | ||
| 67′ | Leiston | ||
| 80′ | Leiston | ||
| 83′ | Guiseley AFC |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leiston vs Guiseley AFC
| Probability | Leiston | Draw | Guiseley AFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 26.6% | 35.4% |
| Market | 25.2% | 23.8% | 51.0% |
| Final | 28.4% | 24.5% | 47.1% |
| Edge | +12.8% | +2.8% | -15.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leiston and Guiseley AFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Leiston and Guiseley AFC attack and defence ratings
Leiston
Guiseley AFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC: result vs prediction
Leiston 0 – 3 Guiseley AFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guiseley AFC | 47.1% | 2.12 | -15.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leiston | 28.4% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Guiseley AFC | 47.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guiseley AFC win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC stats
Leiston and Guiseley AFC recent form
| Leiston |
WWWDLW |
| Guiseley AFC |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.2%, draw 23.8%, away 51.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.65 | 3.84 | 1.78 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.60 | 3.84 | 1.76 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .