Sutton Utd
vs
Truro City
1 – 0 Full time
| 32′ | Sutton Utd | ||
| 93′ | Sutton Utd |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 7 | Corners | 11 |
Sutton Utd vs Truro City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sutton Utd vs Truro City
| Probability | Sutton Utd | Draw | Truro City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.1% | 26.9% | 40.0% |
| Market | 46.8% | 26.9% | 26.3% |
| Final | 43.4% | 26.9% | 29.7% |
| Edge | -13.7% | -0.0% | +13.7% |
Why Sutton Utd
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sutton Utd and Truro City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Sutton Utd and Truro City attack and defence ratings
Sutton Utd
Truro City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sutton Utd vs Truro City: result vs prediction
Sutton Utd 1 – 0 Truro City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Sutton Utd vs Truro City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutton Utd | 43.4% | 2.30 | -13.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutton Utd | 43.4% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Truro City | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutton Utd win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 66.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Sutton Utd vs Truro City stats
Sutton Utd and Truro City recent form
| Sutton Utd |
LWWDLW |
| Truro City |
WWDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sutton Utd vs Truro City head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Sutton Utd | Truro City | National League | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Truro City | Sutton Utd | National League | 2-3 |
| 2017-12-16 | Sutton Utd | Truro City | FA Trophy | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sutton Utd vs Truro City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 26.9%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.34 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.34 | 3.42 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .