Blackpool
vs
Lincoln
1 – 4 Full time
Blackpool vs Lincoln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackpool vs Lincoln
| Probability | Blackpool | Draw | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.8% | 28.9% | 33.3% |
| Market | 27.8% | 26.7% | 45.5% |
| Final | 30.3% | 27.2% | 42.5% |
| Edge | +10.0% | +2.2% | -12.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackpool and Lincoln expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Blackpool and Lincoln attack and defence ratings
Blackpool
Lincoln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Blackpool vs Lincoln: result vs prediction
Blackpool 1 – 4 Lincoln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blackpool vs Lincoln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln | 42.5% | 2.36 | -12.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 30.3% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Lincoln | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lincoln win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 66.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 8.8% | |
| 0-0 | 8.7% |
Blackpool vs Lincoln stats
Blackpool vs Lincoln head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Lincoln | Blackpool | League One | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Blackpool | Lincoln | League One | 2-2 |
| 2025-01-28 | Lincoln | Blackpool | League One | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-01 | Blackpool | Lincoln | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-01 | Blackpool | Lincoln | League One | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Lincoln | Blackpool | League One | 3-0 |
| 2021-05-30 | Blackpool | Lincoln | League One | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-10 | Lincoln | Blackpool | League One | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-03 | Blackpool | Lincoln | League One | 2-3 |
| 2020-01-18 | Lincoln | Blackpool | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Blackpool vs Lincoln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.8%, draw 26.7%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.06 |
| 1xBet | 3.42 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.45 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.55 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 3.44 | 3.60 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40 | 3.57 | 2.15 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.12 | 2.01 |
| Superbet | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.08 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .