League One · Full time ·Matchday 5

Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon

0 – 2 Full time

8′Jayden Stockley
28′James TilleyCallum Maycock
29′Shamal Georgeowen mason
29′Deonysus woodmanKamari Antonio Grant
44′Dan Sweeney
59′Richard TaylorMikel Miller
67′Myles Hippolyte
68′William HondermarckJohn Joshua Mckiernan
68′Michael CheekVictor Adeboyejo
78′John Joshua Mckiernan
87′Jayden StockleyAron Sasu
87′Steven SessegnonAndy Yiadom
90′Myles HippolyteZack Nelson

Hayes Lane, BromleyReferee: Lewis Sandoe

Bromley 43%
Draw 28%
AFC Wimbledon 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
47 Possession % 53
4 Corners 4
16 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
142 Accurate passes 182

Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBromleyDrawAFC Wimbledon
Model57.7%25.4%17.0%
Market37.8%28.8%33.4%
Final42.8%27.9%29.3%
Edge+19.8%-3.4%-16.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Bromley

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bromley below the model: +19.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bromley ↓ / AFC Wimbledon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Bromley and AFC Wimbledon expected goals

Bromley 1.77
AFC Wimbledon 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.63

Bromley and AFC Wimbledon attack and defence ratings

Bromley

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.45 +45%

AFC Wimbledon

Attack 0.51 -49%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon: result vs prediction

Bromley 0 – 2 AFC Wimbledon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bromley 42.8% 2.34 +19.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.3% 2.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bromley42.8%
Draw27.9%
AFC Wimbledon29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.0%
Under 2.551.0%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.2%
Handicap -1Bromley win33.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss42.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-011.6%
2-011.2%

Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon stats

Bromley and AFC Wimbledon recent form

newest first
Bromley LLDWDW
AFC Wimbledon LWLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bromley and AFC Wimbledon going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bromley record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

AFC Wimbledon record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Bromley wins 0Draws 2AFC Wimbledon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-11BromleyAFC WimbledonEFL Trophy1-2
2025-03-01AFC WimbledonBromleyLeague Two0-1
2024-08-17BromleyAFC WimbledonLeague Two2-0
2024-08-13BromleyAFC WimbledonLeague Cup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 28.8%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.25 2.75
1xBet 2.47 3.24 2.79
Bet365 2.45 3.20 2.80
BetVictor 2.45 3.30 2.80
Betano 2.50 3.20 2.77
Betfair 2.50 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.50 3.35 2.85
Marathonbet 2.46 3.25 2.79
Pinnacle 2.52 3.40 2.87
SBO 2.32 3.05 2.68
Superbet 2.47 3.25 2.80
Unibet 2.48 3.25 2.80
William Hill 2.40 3.20 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.47 ▲ +0.37
X 3.25 ▼ -0.13
2 2.80 ▼ -0.45

12 snapshots recorded, from .