League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Colchester
vs
Oldham
2 – 1 Full time
Colchester
33%
Draw
28%
Oldham
39%
Colchester vs Oldham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Oldham
| Probability | Colchester | Draw | Oldham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 28.3% | 39.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.6% | 28.3% | 39.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Colchester and Oldham expected goals
Colchester
1.27
Oldham
1.41
Total expected goals: 2.67
Colchester and Oldham attack and defence ratings
Colchester
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Oldham
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colchester vs Oldham: result vs prediction
Colchester 2 – 1 Oldham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colchester vs Oldham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 32.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Oldham | 39.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oldham win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Colchester vs Oldham stats
Colchester and Oldham recent form
| Colchester |
DLWLLW |
| Oldham |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colchester and Oldham going into this match
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Oldham record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Colchester vs Oldham head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Colchester wins
1Draws
1Oldham wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Colchester | Oldham | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Oldham | Colchester | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.