Atromitos
vs
AEK Athens FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: AEK Athens FC
0 – 2 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC
| Probability | Atromitos | Draw | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.0% | 21.3% | 66.8% |
| Market | 12.4% | 21.5% | 66.1% |
| Final | 12.3% | 21.5% | 66.2% |
| Edge | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.7% |
Why AEK Athens FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC match preview
Atromitos faces AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 with a significant disparity in recent form. Atromitos has recorded three losses and two draws in their last five matches, while AEK Athens FC boasts an impressive record of five wins and one draw in the same period. The probabilities indicate a strong likelihood of an AEK Athens FC victory at 65%, with a draw at 22% and Atromitos at just 13%.
The expected goals suggest a challenging match for Atromitos, with an expected goal tally of 0.78 compared to AEK Athens FC's 2.10. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-2, occurring at a 12% probability, while there is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Both teams are projected to score at a rate of 49%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atromitos and AEK Athens FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Atromitos and AEK Athens FC attack and defence ratings
Atromitos
AEK Athens FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 66.2% | 1.51 | +0.7% | 1.47 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atromitos | 12.3% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| AEK Athens FC | 66.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.6% |
| No | 51.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 42.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 12.3% |
| 0-1 | 10.9% | |
| 1-1 | 10.2% |
Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC stats
Atromitos and AEK Athens FC recent form
| Atromitos |
LLLDDW |
| AEK Athens FC |
LWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atromitos and AEK Athens FC season so far
Atromitos record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AEK Athens FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Atromitos | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-07 | AEK Athens FC | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.7%, draw 21.7%, away 65.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.80 | 4.30 | 1.41 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.38 |
| Betano | 7.20 | 4.45 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Marathonbet | 7.40 | 4.15 | 1.43 |
| Pinnacle | 6.33 | 4.43 | 1.47 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 3.80 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
54 snapshots recorded, from .