Fagiano Okayama
vs
Beluga Rosso Iwami
3 – 0 Full time
Fagiano Okayama vs Beluga Rosso Iwami overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fagiano Okayama vs Beluga Rosso Iwami
| Probability | Fagiano Okayama | Draw | Beluga Rosso Iwami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.1% | 29.0% | 16.9% |
| Market | 88.8% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Final | 80.1% | 13.1% | 6.7% |
| Edge | -34.7% | +21.1% | +13.6% |
Why Fagiano Okayama
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fagiano Okayama and Beluga Rosso Iwami expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Fagiano Okayama and Beluga Rosso Iwami attack and defence ratings
Fagiano Okayama
Beluga Rosso Iwami
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fagiano Okayama vs Beluga Rosso Iwami: result vs prediction
Fagiano Okayama 3 – 0 Beluga Rosso Iwami
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Fagiano Okayama vs Beluga Rosso Iwami markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fagiano Okayama | 80.1% | 1.25 | -34.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fagiano Okayama | 80.1% |
| Draw | 13.1% | |
| Beluga Rosso Iwami | 6.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.3% |
| No | 59.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fagiano Okayama win | 29.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.9% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-1 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
Fagiano Okayama vs Beluga Rosso Iwami stats
Fagiano Okayama and Beluga Rosso Iwami recent form
| Fagiano Okayama |
DWLWDL |
| Beluga Rosso Iwami |
WL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fagiano Okayama vs Beluga Rosso Iwami head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Fagiano Okayama vs Beluga Rosso Iwami odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 88.8%, draw 7.9%, away 3.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.03 | 11.50 | 38.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.04 | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.04 | 10.50 | 26.00 |
| Betano | 1.05 | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 13.00 | 41.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.06 | 14.00 | 29.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.03 | 11.50 | 38.00 |
| Superbet | 1.04 | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| Unibet | 1.04 | 12.50 | 20.00 |
| William Hill | 1.05 | 10.00 | 56.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .