Emperor Cup · Full time ·2nd Round

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano

6 – 0 Full time

Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo

FC Tokyo 81%
Draw 12%
Parceiro Nagano 7%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC TokyoDrawParceiro Nagano
Model55.5%23.7%20.8%
Market89.2%8.1%2.7%
Final80.8%12.0%7.2%
Edge-33.7%+15.6%+18.1%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Tokyo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.13.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Tokyo ↓ / Parceiro Nagan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

FC Tokyo and Parceiro Nagano expected goals

FC Tokyo 2.00
Parceiro Nagano 1.13

Total expected goals: 3.13

FC Tokyo and Parceiro Nagano attack and defence ratings

FC Tokyo

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Parceiro Nagano

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano: result vs prediction

FC Tokyo 6 – 0 Parceiro Nagano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Round fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Tokyo 80.8% 1.24 -33.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.8% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.5% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Tokyo80.8%
Draw12.0%
Parceiro Nagano7.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.8%
12 (either side)88.0%
X2 (draw or away)19.2%
Handicap -1FC Tokyo win34.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss43.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.9%
2-08.6%

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano stats

FC Tokyo and Parceiro Nagano recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FC Tokyo wins 1Draws 0Parceiro Nagano wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2017-06-21FC TokyoParceiro NaganoEmperor Cup1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 89.2%, draw 8.1%, away 2.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.04 10.00 35.00
1xBet 1.04 11.50 34.00
Bet365 1.03 15.00 41.00
BetVictor 1.04 11.00 26.00
Betano 1.05 8.75 25.00
Betfair 1.03 14.00 51.00
Dafabet 1.05 15.00 40.00
Marathonbet 1.04 11.50 34.00
Superbet 1.03 13.00 27.00
Unibet 1.03 13.00 26.00
William Hill 1.05 10.00 51.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.04 ▲ +0.01
X 11.50 ▼ -1.00
2 34.00 ▼ -11.00

3 snapshots recorded, from .