Emperor Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Round
Kashiwa Reysol
vs
Senshu University
2 – 1 Full time
Kashiwa Reysol
70%
Draw
18%
Senshu University
12%
Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University
| Probability | Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Senshu University |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.7% | 18.5% | 11.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 69.7% | 18.5% | 11.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kashiwa Reysol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
Kashiwa Reysol and Senshu University expected goals
Kashiwa Reysol
2.48
Senshu University
0.93
Total expected goals: 3.41
Kashiwa Reysol and Senshu University attack and defence ratings
Kashiwa Reysol
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Senshu University
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University: result vs prediction
Kashiwa Reysol 2 – 1 Senshu University
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kashiwa Reysol win | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 69.7% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Senshu University | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashiwa Reysol win | 49.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 29.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-1 | 8.5% |
Kashiwa Reysol vs Senshu University stats
Kashiwa Reysol and Senshu University recent form
| Kashiwa Reysol |
WWWLWW |
| Senshu University |
W |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.