Vegalta Sendai
vs
Tochigi City
1 – 2 Full time
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City
| Probability | Vegalta Sendai | Draw | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.6% | 25.0% | 20.5% |
| Market | 46.7% | 27.7% | 25.6% |
| Final | 48.7% | 27.0% | 24.3% |
| Edge | +7.9% | -2.8% | -5.1% |
Why Vegalta Sendai
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.04.
- The market prices Vegalta Sendai below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vegalta Sendai and Tochigi City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Vegalta Sendai and Tochigi City attack and defence ratings
Vegalta Sendai
Tochigi City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City: result vs prediction
Vegalta Sendai 1 – 2 Tochigi City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vegalta Sendai | 48.7% | 2.06 | +7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vegalta Sendai | 48.7% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Tochigi City | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vegalta Sendai win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City stats
Vegalta Sendai and Tochigi City recent form
| Vegalta Sendai |
L |
| Tochigi City |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Vegalta Sendai | Tochigi City | J2/J3 League | 5-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tochigi City | Vegalta Sendai | J2/J3 League | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 27.7%, away 25.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.20 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.48 | 3.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.37 | 3.20 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 2.94 | 3.26 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 1.88 | 3.15 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .