3K
vs
Mara Sugar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 β 0 Predicted score Β· 20% model probability
3K vs Mara Sugar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 3K vs Mara Sugar
| Probability | 3K | Draw | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 37.3% | 31.2% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 31.6% | 37.3% | 31.2% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
3K vs Mara Sugar match preview
In the upcoming match between 3K and Mara Sugar, the probabilities indicate a closely contested game, with 3K at 32%, a draw at 37%, and Mara Sugar at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-0, which has a 20% probability. Both teams are expected to have similar performances, with expected goals of 0.83 for 3K and 0.82 for Mara Sugar.
Mara Sugar's recent form shows a mixed bag with results of L-D-L-W-L-W, while there is no available recent form data for 3K. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 23%, and the probability of both teams scoring stands at 33%. The overall confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
3K and Mara Sugar expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.65
3K and Mara Sugar attack and defence ratings
3K
Mara Sugar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
3K vs Mara Sugar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.3% | 2.68 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.1% | 1.49 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% | 1.45 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.4% | 1.46 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3K | 31.6% |
| Draw | 37.3% | |
| Mara Sugar | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.9% |
| No | 67.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | 3K win | 10.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 68.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.5% |
| 1-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-1 | 14.5% |
3K vs Mara Sugar stats
3K and Mara Sugar recent form
| no matches on record | |
| LDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.