Kenyan Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 1
3K
vs
Mara Sugar
2 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | V. Ngume | ||
| 52′ | J. Westo | ||
| 66′ | J. Okwenda | ||
| 70′ | A. Ndune |
3K
31%
Draw
37%
Mara Sugar
31%
3K vs Mara Sugar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 3K vs Mara Sugar
| Probability | 3K | Draw | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 37.3% | 31.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.5% | 37.3% | 31.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
79%
2+ goals
50%
3+ goals
23%
No goals
21%
3K and Mara Sugar expected goals
3K
0.82
Mara Sugar
0.83
Total expected goals: 1.65
3K and Mara Sugar attack and defence ratings
3K
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Mara Sugar
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
3K vs Mara Sugar: result vs prediction
3K 2 – 2 Mara Sugar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
3K vs Mara Sugar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3K | 31.5% |
| Draw | 37.3% | |
| Mara Sugar | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.9% |
| No | 67.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | 3K win | 10.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 68.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.5% |
| 1-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-1 | 14.5% |
3K vs Mara Sugar stats
3K and Mara Sugar recent form
| 3K |
no matches on record |
| Mara Sugar |
LDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.