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Kenyan Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 1

Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana

0 – 1 Full time

10′Posta Rangers FC
67′A. Hafiz
Posta Rangers FC 32%
Draw 32%
Shabana 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPosta Rangers FCDrawShabana
Model38.3%34.5%27.2%
Market29.7%31.1%39.1%
Final31.9%32.0%36.1%
Edge+2.1%+0.9%-3.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Posta Rangers ↓ / Shabana → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 11% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Posta Rangers FC and Shabana expected goals

Posta Rangers FC 1.04
Shabana 0.83

Total expected goals: 1.87

Posta Rangers FC and Shabana attack and defence ratings

Posta Rangers FC

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Shabana

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana: result vs prediction

Posta Rangers FC 0 – 1 Shabana

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Kenyan Premier League

Before and after this match

Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shabana 36.1% 2.77 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.2% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 68.1% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.8% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Posta Rangers FC31.9%
Draw32.0%
Shabana36.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.8%
Under 2.571.2%
Both teams to scoreYes37.8%
No62.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.9%
12 (either side)68.0%
X2 (draw or away)68.1%
Handicap -1Shabana win9.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss72.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.7%
1-014.7%
1-114.6%

Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana stats

Posta Rangers FC and Shabana recent form

newest first
Posta Rangers FC LWDWDD
Shabana LDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Posta Rangers FC wins 1Draws 2Shabana wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14Posta Rangers FCShabanaKenyan Premier League0-2
2025-10-15ShabanaPosta Rangers FCKenyan Premier League1-2
2025-02-09Posta Rangers FCShabanaFKF Premier League2-1
2024-12-04ShabanaPosta Rangers FCFKF Premier League1-1
2024-04-06ShabanaPosta Rangers FCFKF Premier League3-0
2023-11-25Posta Rangers FCShabanaFKF Premier League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.7%, draw 31.1%, away 39.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.08 2.90 2.27
Bet365 3.00 2.88 2.30
Betano 3.05 2.87 2.30
Betfair 3.00 2.88 2.30
Dafabet 3.15 3.00 2.32
Marathonbet 3.00 2.90 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.02 ▲ +0.02
X 2.89 ▲ +0.01
2 2.30 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .