Posta Rangers FC
vs
Shabana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shabana
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana
| Probability | Posta Rangers FC | Draw | Shabana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 34.5% | 27.2% |
| Market | 29.6% | 31.3% | 39.2% |
| Final | 31.8% | 32.1% | 36.2% |
| Edge | +8.7% | +3.3% | -12.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana match preview
Posta Rangers FC faces Shabana in the Kenyan Premier League on October 10, 2026. The probabilities suggest a close contest, with Posta Rangers FC at 32%, a draw also at 32%, and Shabana slightly favored at 36%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at an 11% probability. Expected goals are projected at 1.04 for Posta Rangers FC and 0.83 for Shabana, indicating a potentially tight match.
In terms of recent form, Posta Rangers FC has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, while Shabana has one win, three draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. Historically, in their last six encounters, Posta Rangers FC has secured three wins, Shabana has two, and there has been one draw. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Posta Rangers FC and Shabana expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.87
Posta Rangers FC and Shabana attack and defence ratings
Posta Rangers FC
Shabana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shabana | 36.2% | 2.77 | -12.0% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Posta Rangers FC | 31.8% |
| Draw | 32.1% | |
| Shabana | 36.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shabana win | 9.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 72.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 1-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana stats
Posta Rangers FC and Shabana recent form
| Posta Rangers FC |
LWDWDD |
| Shabana |
LDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Posta Rangers FC | Shabana | Kenyan Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-15 | Shabana | Posta Rangers FC | Kenyan Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Posta Rangers FC | Shabana | FKF Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Shabana | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Shabana | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2023-11-25 | Posta Rangers FC | Shabana | FKF Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.6%, draw 31.3%, away 39.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.13 | 2.88 | 2.26 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 2.87 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.00 | 2.32 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 2.88 | 2.24 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .