AFC Leopards
vs
Bandari
Garuda Lions Prediction: AFC Leopards
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
AFC Leopards vs Bandari overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AFC Leopards vs Bandari
| Probability | AFC Leopards | Draw | Bandari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.0% | 31.8% | 24.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.0% | 31.8% | 24.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AFC Leopards
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
AFC Leopards vs Bandari match preview
AFC Leopards are set to face Bandari in the Kenyan Premier League, with the model indicating a 44% probability of a win for Leopards, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 24% likelihood of a Bandari victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of AFC Leopards, occurring with a 14% probability. The expected goals for the match suggest AFC Leopards at 1.25 and Bandari at 0.86, highlighting a potential edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, AFC Leopards have recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Bandari has struggled, with only one win in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows that in their last two encounters, there have been no wins for either team, with both matches ending in draws. The model indicates a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AFC Leopards and Bandari expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
AFC Leopards and Bandari attack and defence ratings
AFC Leopards
Bandari
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
AFC Leopards vs Bandari markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFC Leopards | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFC Leopards | 44.0% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Bandari | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | AFC Leopards win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 13.5% |
AFC Leopards vs Bandari stats
AFC Leopards and Bandari recent form
| AFC Leopards |
LLWWWL |
| Bandari |
LWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AFC Leopards vs Bandari head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Bandari | AFC Leopards | Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-15 | AFC Leopards | Bandari | Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.