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Kenyan Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 1

AFC Leopards vs Bandari

0 – 0 Full time

12′AFC Leopards
AFC Leopards 47%
Draw 31%
Bandari 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AFC Leopards vs Bandari overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AFC Leopards vs Bandari

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAFC LeopardsDrawBandari
Model43.8%31.9%24.3%
Market47.7%31.2%21.1%
Final46.7%31.3%21.9%
Edge-1.0%+0.2%+0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why AFC Leopards

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AFC Leopards ↓ / Bandari → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

AFC Leopards and Bandari expected goals

AFC Leopards 1.24
Bandari 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.10

AFC Leopards and Bandari attack and defence ratings

AFC Leopards

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Bandari

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AFC Leopards vs Bandari: result vs prediction

AFC Leopards 0 – 0 Bandari

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Kenyan Premier League

Before and after this match

AFC Leopards vs Bandari markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AFC Leopards 46.7% 2.14 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.1% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.3% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AFC Leopards46.7%
Draw31.3%
Bandari21.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.9%
Under 2.565.1%
Both teams to scoreYes42.2%
No57.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.1%
12 (either side)68.7%
X2 (draw or away)53.3%
Handicap -1AFC Leopards win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss56.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-013.9%
0-013.6%

AFC Leopards vs Bandari stats

AFC Leopards and Bandari recent form

newest first
AFC Leopards LLWWWL
Bandari LWLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AFC Leopards vs Bandari head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5AFC Leopards wins 4Draws 1Bandari wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14BandariAFC LeopardsKenyan Premier League0-0
2025-10-15AFC LeopardsBandariKenyan Premier League0-0
2025-05-18BandariAFC LeopardsFKF Premier League0-0
2024-12-22AFC LeopardsBandariFKF Premier League2-0
2024-05-05AFC LeopardsBandariFKF Premier League1-0
2023-10-22BandariAFC LeopardsFKF Premier League1-0
2023-04-30AFC LeopardsBandariShield Cup3-0
2023-03-29AFC LeopardsBandariFKF Premier League1-0
2023-01-22BandariAFC LeopardsFKF Premier League0-2
2022-03-06AFC LeopardsBandariFKF Premier League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AFC Leopards vs Bandari odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 31.2%, away 21.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.88 2.89 4.34
Bet365 1.80 2.90 4.50
Betano 1.98 2.87 3.90
Betfair 1.90 2.90 4.40
Dafabet 1.99 2.95 4.20
Marathonbet 1.86 2.89 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.89 ▼ -0.10
X 2.90 —
2 4.27 ▲ +0.32

5 snapshots recorded, from .