GOR Mahia
vs
Murang'a SEAL
4 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | A. Onyango | ||
| 49′ | S. Musa | ||
| 56′ | J. Dwang | ||
| 62′ | J. Dwang | ||
| 75′ | J. Lopaga | ||
| 86′ | J. Lopaga |
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL
| Probability | GOR Mahia | Draw | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 29.2% | 40.0% |
| Market | 62.9% | 24.2% | 12.9% |
| Final | 54.8% | 25.5% | 19.7% |
| Edge | -8.0% | +1.3% | +6.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GOR Mahia and Murang'a SEAL expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
GOR Mahia and Murang'a SEAL attack and defence ratings
GOR Mahia
Murang'a SEAL
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL: result vs prediction
GOR Mahia 4 – 2 Murang'a SEAL
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GOR Mahia | 54.8% | 1.82 | -8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GOR Mahia | 54.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Murang'a SEAL | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | GOR Mahia win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 69.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL stats
GOR Mahia and Murang'a SEAL recent form
| GOR Mahia |
LLLDWD |
| Murang'a SEAL |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Murang'a SEAL | GOR Mahia | Kenyan Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2026-01-14 | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | Kenyan Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-25 | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | Shield Cup | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Murang'a SEAL | GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Murang'a SEAL | GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-11 | GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.9%, draw 24.2%, away 12.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 3.74 | 7.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 3.55 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 3.75 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 3.74 | 6.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .