Murang'a SEAL
vs
Posta Rangers FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Posta Rangers FC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC
| Probability | Murang'a SEAL | Draw | Posta Rangers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 28.5% | 39.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.2% | 28.5% | 39.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC match preview
Murang'a SEAL faces Posta Rangers FC in an upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, with the model giving Murang'a SEAL a 32% chance of winning, while Posta Rangers FC has a 39% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Murang'a SEAL stand at 1.24, compared to Posta Rangers FC's 1.40, indicating a closely contested match.
In terms of recent form, Murang'a SEAL has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins and three losses in their last six matches. Posta Rangers FC has shown slightly better form, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six outings. The probability of both teams scoring is 55%, while the chances of over 2.5 goals are at 49%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Murang'a SEAL and Posta Rangers FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Murang'a SEAL and Posta Rangers FC attack and defence ratings
Murang'a SEAL
Posta Rangers FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Posta Rangers FC | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Murang'a SEAL | 32.2% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Posta Rangers FC | 39.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Posta Rangers FC win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.7% |
Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC stats
Murang'a SEAL and Posta Rangers FC recent form
| Murang'a SEAL |
LWWLWL |
| Posta Rangers FC |
LLWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Murang'a SEAL | Posta Rangers FC | Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Posta Rangers FC | Murang'a SEAL | Kenyan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Posta Rangers FC | Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2024-12-15 | Murang'a SEAL | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-21 | Posta Rangers FC | Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-24 | Murang'a SEAL | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.