3K
vs
Murang'a SEAL
Garuda Lions Prediction: Murang'a SEAL
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
3K vs Murang'a SEAL overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 3K vs Murang'a SEAL
| Probability | 3K | Draw | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 24.8% | 37.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.3% | 24.8% | 37.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Murang'a SEAL
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
3K vs Murang'a SEAL match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, 3K will host Murang'a SEAL on October 25, 2026. According to our model, 3K has a 37% chance of winning, while Murang'a SEAL is slightly favored with a 38% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Murang'a SEAL, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 67% chance that both teams will find the back of the net.
Recent form reveals that 3K has drawn their last two matches, while Murang'a SEAL has a mixed record, winning three of their last six games. Expected goals for 3K stand at 1.67, closely matched by Murang'a SEAL's 1.68. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, at 65%, indicating an exciting encounter ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
3K and Murang'a SEAL expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
3K and Murang'a SEAL attack and defence ratings
3K
Murang'a SEAL
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
3K vs Murang'a SEAL markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Murang'a SEAL | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3K | 37.3% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Murang'a SEAL | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% |
| No | 33.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Murang'a SEAL win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 62.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
3K vs Murang'a SEAL stats
3K and Murang'a SEAL recent form
| 3K |
DD |
| Murang'a SEAL |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.