GOR Mahia
vs
Bandari
Garuda Lions Prediction: GOR Mahia
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
GOR Mahia vs Bandari overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GOR Mahia vs Bandari
| Probability | GOR Mahia | Draw | Bandari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 34.7% | 26.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.1% | 34.7% | 26.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why GOR Mahia
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
GOR Mahia vs Bandari match preview
GOR Mahia faces Bandari in the Kenyan Premier League, with GOR Mahia holding a 39% probability of winning, while a draw is at 35% and Bandari at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 15% chance of occurring. Expected goals are 1.04 for GOR Mahia and 0.81 for Bandari, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, GOR Mahia has recorded two wins, followed by three losses and a draw, while Bandari's last six matches include two draws, a win, and two losses. Historically, GOR Mahia has been more successful in their last nine encounters, winning five times compared to Bandari's two victories. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GOR Mahia and Bandari expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.85
GOR Mahia and Bandari attack and defence ratings
GOR Mahia
Bandari
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
GOR Mahia vs Bandari markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GOR Mahia | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GOR Mahia | 39.1% |
| Draw | 34.7% | |
| Bandari | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.2% |
| No | 62.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | GOR Mahia win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.0% |
| 1-0 | 15.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
GOR Mahia vs Bandari stats
GOR Mahia vs Bandari head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | GOR Mahia | Bandari | Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Bandari | GOR Mahia | Kenyan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Bandari | GOR Mahia | Shield Cup | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-15 | GOR Mahia | Bandari | FKF Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-06 | Bandari | GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Bandari | GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-22 | GOR Mahia | Bandari | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-12 | Bandari | GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2022-12-21 | GOR Mahia | Bandari | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.