Garuda Lions
Today
Kenyan Premier League · ·Matchday 3

Posta Rangers FC vs KCB

Garuda Lions Prediction: KCB

0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.02.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bet on KCB
Posta Rangers FC 22%
Draw 27%
KCB 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance KCB wins
51%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
53%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Posta Rangers FC vs KCB overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Posta Rangers FC vs KCB

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPosta Rangers FCDrawKCB
Model22.0%26.8%51.2%
Market———
Final22.0%26.8%51.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why KCB

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Posta Rangers FC vs KCB match preview

Posta Rangers FC faces KCB in the Kenyan Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 23, 2026. According to our model, KCB has a 51% probability of winning, while Posta Rangers FC stands at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.02 for Posta Rangers FC and 1.66 for KCB. Additionally, there is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Posta Rangers FC has recorded three losses, one win, and one draw in their last five matches, while KCB has achieved three wins, one loss, and one draw. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows Posta Rangers FC with two wins, KCB with four wins, and four matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Posta Rangers ↓ / KCB → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Posta Rangers FC and KCB expected goals

Posta Rangers FC 1.02
KCB 1.66

Total expected goals: 2.67

Posta Rangers FC and KCB attack and defence ratings

Posta Rangers FC

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.39 +39%

KCB

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Kenyan Premier League

Before and after this match

Posta Rangers FC vs KCB markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KCB 51.2% 1.95 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Posta Rangers FC22.0%
Draw26.8%
KCB51.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.8%
No47.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.8%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)78.0%
Handicap -1KCB win28.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss48.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
0-110.3%
1-29.6%
Compare prices for this pick

Posta Rangers FC vs KCB stats

Posta Rangers FC and KCB recent form

newest first
Posta Rangers FC LLLWDW
KCB WDWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Posta Rangers FC vs KCB head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Posta Rangers FC wins 4Draws 4KCB wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23KCBPosta Rangers FCKenyan Premier League0-1
2026-01-20Posta Rangers FCKCBKenyan Premier League0-1
2025-03-01KCBPosta Rangers FCFKF Premier League1-2
2024-09-21Posta Rangers FCKCBFKF Premier League0-3
2024-06-15KCBPosta Rangers FCFKF Premier League0-0
2023-11-05Posta Rangers FCKCBFKF Premier League0-0
2023-05-07Posta Rangers FCKCBFKF Premier League0-1
2023-01-25KCBPosta Rangers FCFKF Premier League1-1
2022-01-23KCBPosta Rangers FCFKF Premier League2-1
2022-01-19Posta Rangers FCKCBFKF Premier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Posta Rangers FC vs KCB odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Check prices at our partner
Prediction snapshot 2 KCB Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now