Kenyan Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
KCB
vs
Mathare United
1 – 0 Full time
| 88′ | A. Mambote |
KCB
37%
Draw
30%
Mathare United
33%
KCB vs Mathare United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KCB vs Mathare United
| Probability | KCB | Draw | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 30.1% | 33.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.7% | 30.1% | 33.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
KCB and Mathare United expected goals
KCB
1.24
Mathare United
1.17
Total expected goals: 2.42
KCB and Mathare United attack and defence ratings
KCB
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Mathare United
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KCB vs Mathare United: result vs prediction
KCB 1 – 0 Mathare United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
KCB vs Mathare United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCB | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCB | 36.7% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Mathare United | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | KCB win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
KCB vs Mathare United stats
KCB and Mathare United recent form
| KCB |
DWWLDL |
| Mathare United |
DWLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KCB vs Mathare United head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
6KCB wins
1Draws
2Mathare United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Mathare United | KCB | Kenyan Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | KCB | Mathare United | Kenyan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | KCB | Mathare United | FKF Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Mathare United | KCB | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-27 | Mathare United | KCB | FKF Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-04 | KCB | Mathare United | FKF Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2022-01-04 | Mathare United | KCB | FKF Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2021-06-19 | KCB | Mathare United | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-19 | Mathare United | KCB | FKF Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.