Kenyan Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 4

Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bandari

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bandari 38%
Draw 35%
Posta Rangers FC 27%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Bandari wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
83%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
37%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBandariDrawPosta Rangers FC
Model37.5%35.1%27.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final37.5%35.1%27.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC match preview

In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, Bandari faces Posta Rangers FC with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Bandari has a 38% chance of winning, while a draw is estimated at 35% and Posta Rangers FC at 27%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Bandari, with an expected goals tally of 1.00 for Bandari and 0.82 for Posta Rangers FC.

Recent form shows Bandari with two draws, a loss, a win, and another loss, while Posta Rangers FC has had a mixed run with two losses, a win, and a draw. In their last two encounters, neither team has secured a win, resulting in two draws. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the forecast.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bandari ↓ / Posta Rangers β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 12% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Bandari and Posta Rangers FC expected goals

Bandari 1.00
Posta Rangers FC 0.82

Total expected goals: 1.82

Bandari and Posta Rangers FC attack and defence ratings

Bandari

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Posta Rangers FC

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Kenyan Premier League

Before and after this match

Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bandari 37.5% 2.66 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.5% 1.38 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 63.3% 1.58 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.6% 1.38 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bandari37.5%
Draw35.1%
Posta Rangers FC27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.5%
Under 2.572.5%
Both teams to scoreYes36.7%
No63.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)64.9%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Bandari win15.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.5%
1-014.9%
1-114.6%

Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC stats

Bandari and Posta Rangers FC recent form

newest first
Bandari DDLWLD
Posta Rangers FC LLLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Bandari wins 2Draws 0Posta Rangers FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-06BandariPosta Rangers FCKenyan Premier League1-1
2025-12-16Posta Rangers FCBandariKenyan Premier League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Bandari Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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