Shabana
vs
Migori Youth
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Shabana vs Migori Youth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shabana vs Migori Youth
| Probability | Shabana | Draw | Migori Youth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 38.0% | 34.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.6% | 38.0% | 34.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Shabana vs Migori Youth match preview
Shabana faces Migori Youth in the Kenyan Premier League with a predicted probability of 28% for a Shabana win, 38% for a draw, and 34% for a Migori Youth victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-0, with a 22% likelihood. The expected goals for Shabana stand at 0.73, while Migori Youth is slightly higher at 0.85.
In terms of recent form, Shabana has recorded results of D-W-L-D-W-L, while Migori Youth's most recent match ended in a draw. The model indicates a low probability of over 2.5 goals at 21% and a 31% chance for both teams to score. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, suggesting a moderate level of uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shabana and Migori Youth expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.59
Shabana and Migori Youth attack and defence ratings
Shabana
Migori Youth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shabana vs Migori Youth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shabana | 27.6% |
| Draw | 38.0% | |
| Migori Youth | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.1% |
| No | 68.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Migori Youth win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 65.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.7% |
| 0-1 | 16.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Shabana vs Migori Youth stats
Shabana and Migori Youth recent form
| Shabana |
DWLDWL |
| Migori Youth |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.