Shabana
vs
Police
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 32% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Shabana vs Police overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shabana vs Police
| Probability | Shabana | Draw | Police |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.8% | 44.3% | 32.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.8% | 44.3% | 32.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Shabana vs Police match preview
Shabana and Police are set to face off in the Kenyan Premier League, with Shabana holding a 24% chance of winning, while Police has a 32% probability of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 44%. The most probable scoreline is 0-0, with a 32% chance, indicating a potentially defensive matchup. Expected goals for Shabana are 0.53, while Police is slightly higher at 0.66.
In terms of recent form, Shabana has recorded three draws, one win, and one loss in their last five matches, whereas Police has a mixed record with one win, three draws, and one loss. In their last two encounters, Shabana has one win and one draw against Police, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shabana and Police expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.19
Shabana and Police attack and defence ratings
Shabana
Police
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shabana vs Police markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shabana | 23.8% |
| Draw | 44.3% | |
| Police | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 11.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 88.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 20.8% |
| No | 79.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 55.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Police win | 9.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 68.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 31.6% |
| 0-1 | 19.0% | |
| 1-0 | 15.1% |
Shabana vs Police stats
Shabana vs Police head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Shabana | Police | Shield Cup | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Shabana | Police | Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Police | Shabana | Kenyan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-15 | Police | Shabana | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Shabana | Police | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Police | Shabana | FKF Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Shabana | Police | FKF Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.