GOR Mahia
vs
KCB
Garuda Lions Prediction: KCB
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
GOR Mahia vs KCB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GOR Mahia vs KCB
| Probability | GOR Mahia | Draw | KCB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 30.5% | 34.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.7% | 30.5% | 34.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
GOR Mahia vs KCB match preview
GOR Mahia faces KCB in a closely matched contest, with both teams holding a 35% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of KCB, which has a 10% likelihood. The expected goals are nearly identical, with GOR Mahia at 1.18 and KCB at 1.19, indicating a competitive match.
Recent form shows GOR Mahia with a mixed record of four wins followed by two losses, while KCB has been more consistent, winning four of their last six matches. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 42%, and there is a 49% chance that both teams will score. Historically, GOR Mahia has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two head-to-head matches.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GOR Mahia and KCB expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
GOR Mahia and KCB attack and defence ratings
GOR Mahia
KCB
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
GOR Mahia vs KCB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCB | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GOR Mahia | 34.7% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| KCB | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | KCB win | 15.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.8% |
GOR Mahia vs KCB stats
GOR Mahia vs KCB head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | GOR Mahia | KCB | Kenyan Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | KCB | GOR Mahia | Kenyan Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.