Kenyan Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 5

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K

Garuda Lions Prediction: Posta Rangers FC

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Posta Rangers FC 36%
Draw 30%
3K 34%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Posta Rangers FC wins
36%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
51%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Posta Rangers FC vs 3K

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPosta Rangers FCDraw3K
Model35.5%30.1%34.3%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final35.5%30.1%34.3%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Posta Rangers FC

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K match preview

Posta Rangers FC faces 3K in the Kenyan Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for November 2, 2026. According to our model, Posta Rangers FC has a 36% probability of winning, while 3K holds a 34% chance, and a draw is estimated at 30%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Posta Rangers FC, with an expected goals tally of 1.22 for Posta Rangers FC and 1.20 for 3K.

In terms of recent form, Posta Rangers FC has recorded a draw, a win, and three losses in their last five matches, while 3K has one win and two draws in their recent outings. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 44%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 51%. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Posta Rangers ↓ / 3K β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Posta Rangers FC and 3K expected goals

Posta Rangers FC 1.22
3K 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.42

Posta Rangers FC and 3K attack and defence ratings

Posta Rangers FC

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.15 +15%

3K

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Kenyan Premier League

Before and after this match

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Posta Rangers FC 35.5% 2.81 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.9% 1.43 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 64.5% 1.55 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Posta Rangers FC35.5%
Draw30.1%
3K34.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.5%
Under 2.556.5%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.7%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)64.5%
Handicap -1Posta Rangers FC win15.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss64.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
1-09.6%

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K stats

Posta Rangers FC and 3K recent form

newest first
Posta Rangers FC DWLLLW
3K LWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Posta Rangers FC Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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