3K
vs
AFC Leopards
Garuda Lions Prediction: AFC Leopards
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.88.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
3K vs AFC Leopards overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 3K vs AFC Leopards
| Probability | 3K | Draw | AFC Leopards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.6% | 32.1% | 42.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.6% | 32.1% | 42.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AFC Leopards
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.88.
3K vs AFC Leopards match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, 3K faces AFC Leopards with the probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. According to our model, 3K has a 26% chance of winning, while AFC Leopards has a 42% chance, and a draw stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%.
When analyzing expected goals, 3K is projected to score 0.88, whereas AFC Leopards is expected to net 1.21. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35%, and both teams scoring is forecasted at 42%. Recent form shows 3K with a record of L-W-D-D, while AFC Leopards has D-D-W-D-L-L, suggesting a slight edge for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
3K and AFC Leopards expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
3K and AFC Leopards attack and defence ratings
3K
AFC Leopards
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
3K vs AFC Leopards markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFC Leopards | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3K | 25.6% |
| Draw | 32.1% | |
| AFC Leopards | 42.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | AFC Leopards win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-1 | 13.6% |
3K vs AFC Leopards stats
3K and AFC Leopards recent form
| 3K |
LWDD |
| AFC Leopards |
DDWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.