Murang'a SEAL
vs
Ulinzi Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Murang'a SEAL
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars
| Probability | Murang'a SEAL | Draw | Ulinzi Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.0% | 27.0% | 32.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.0% | 27.0% | 32.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Murang'a SEAL
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars match preview
Murang'a SEAL and Ulinzi Stars are set to clash in the Kenyan Premier League, with Murang'a SEAL holding a 41% probability of winning compared to Ulinzi Stars' 32%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Murang'a SEAL, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.55 for Murang'a SEAL and 1.34 for Ulinzi Stars.
In terms of recent form, Murang'a SEAL has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Ulinzi Stars has experienced one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. Historically, in their last encounter, Ulinzi Stars emerged victorious, with Murang'a SEAL yet to secure a win against them. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Murang'a SEAL and Ulinzi Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Murang'a SEAL and Ulinzi Stars attack and defence ratings
Murang'a SEAL
Ulinzi Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Murang'a SEAL | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Murang'a SEAL | 41.0% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Ulinzi Stars | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Murang'a SEAL win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars stats
Murang'a SEAL and Ulinzi Stars recent form
| Murang'a SEAL |
WLWLWW |
| Ulinzi Stars |
LDDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | Murang'a SEAL | Ulinzi Stars | Kenyan Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.