Mombasa Elite
vs
Shabana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 24% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mombasa Elite vs Shabana
| Probability | Mombasa Elite | Draw | Shabana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.6% | 39.1% | 34.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.6% | 39.1% | 34.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana match preview
Mombasa Elite faces Shabana in the Kenyan Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for November 7, 2026. According to our model, Mombasa Elite has a 27% probability of winning, while Shabana stands at 34%, and a draw is forecasted at 39%. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, with a probability of 24%. Expected goals are 0.68 for Mombasa Elite and 0.82 for Shabana, indicating a closely contested match.
Recent form shows Mombasa Elite with a record of L-D-L-L-W, while Shabana has D-D-D-W-L-D. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is only 19%, and both teams to score is at 29%. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mombasa Elite and Shabana expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.50
Mombasa Elite and Shabana attack and defence ratings
Mombasa Elite
Shabana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mombasa Elite | 26.6% |
| Draw | 39.1% | |
| Shabana | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.9% |
| No | 71.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 60.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shabana win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 65.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.5% |
| 0-1 | 17.0% | |
| 1-0 | 14.0% |
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana stats
Mombasa Elite and Shabana recent form
| Mombasa Elite |
LDLLW |
| Shabana |
DDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.