Bandari
vs
Tusker
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 29% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bandari vs Tusker overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandari vs Tusker
| Probability | Bandari | Draw | Tusker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 42.3% | 31.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.4% | 42.3% | 31.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Bandari vs Tusker match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, Bandari faces Tusker with a probability distribution indicating a 26% chance of a Bandari win, a 42% chance of a draw, and a 31% chance of a Tusker victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-0, with a 29% likelihood. Both teams have struggled to score, with expected goals of 0.61 for Bandari and 0.69 for Tusker, suggesting a tight contest.
Recent form shows Bandari with a record of D-L-D-D-L-W, while Tusker has L-D-L-W-W-D. In their last two encounters, Bandari has won both matches against Tusker, indicating a favorable historical trend for the home side. The confidence grade for this matchup stands at C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bandari and Tusker expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.30
Bandari and Tusker attack and defence ratings
Bandari
Tusker
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bandari vs Tusker markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandari | 26.4% |
| Draw | 42.3% | |
| Tusker | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 14.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 85.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 23.8% |
| No | 76.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 57.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tusker win | 9.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 68.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 28.5% |
| 0-1 | 17.7% | |
| 1-0 | 15.5% |
Bandari vs Tusker stats
Bandari vs Tusker head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Bandari | Tusker | Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tusker | Bandari | Kenyan Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.