APS Bomet
vs
Bandari
Garuda Lions Prediction: APS Bomet
1 – 0 Predicted score · 25% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.32.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
APS Bomet vs Bandari overview
Garuda Lions analysis: APS Bomet vs Bandari
| Probability | APS Bomet | Draw | Bandari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.0% | 37.6% | 12.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.0% | 37.6% | 12.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why APS Bomet
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.32.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
APS Bomet vs Bandari match preview
In the upcoming match between APS Bomet and Bandari, APS Bomet holds a 50% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 38% and Bandari at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of APS Bomet, with a 25% likelihood. The expected goals for APS Bomet is 1.01, significantly higher than Bandari's 0.32, indicating a strong offensive performance from the home side.
Recent form shows APS Bomet with a record of W-D-L-D-D-W, while Bandari has struggled with D-L-D-D-L-W. In their last two encounters, APS Bomet has won both matches against Bandari, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
APS Bomet and Bandari expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.33
APS Bomet and Bandari attack and defence ratings
APS Bomet
Bandari
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
APS Bomet vs Bandari markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | APS Bomet | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | APS Bomet | 50.0% |
| Draw | 37.6% | |
| Bandari | 12.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 15.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 84.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 20.2% |
| No | 79.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | APS Bomet win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 30.4% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 26.5% |
| 1-0 | 24.6% | |
| 2-0 | 12.8% |
APS Bomet vs Bandari stats
APS Bomet vs Bandari head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Bandari | APS Bomet | Kenyan Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-07 | APS Bomet | Bandari | Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.