APS Bomet
vs
Bandari
Garuda Lions Prediction: APS Bomet
1 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
APS Bomet vs Bandari overview
Garuda Lions analysis: APS Bomet vs Bandari
| Probability | APS Bomet | Draw | Bandari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 33.2% | 12.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.2% | 33.2% | 12.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why APS Bomet
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
APS Bomet vs Bandari match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, APS Bomet is set to face Bandari, with a kickoff scheduled for October 16, 2026. According to our model, APS Bomet holds a 54% probability of winning, while a draw is at 33% and Bandari at 13%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of APS Bomet, with an expected goals tally of 1.20 for them and 0.44 for Bandari.
Recent form indicates that APS Bomet is on a strong run, with six consecutive matches resulting in either wins or draws, while Bandari has struggled, recording one win and five matches without a victory. In their last two encounters, APS Bomet has secured two wins against Bandari, showcasing a dominant trend in their head-to-head history.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
APS Bomet and Bandari expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.64
APS Bomet and Bandari attack and defence ratings
APS Bomet
Bandari
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
APS Bomet vs Bandari markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | APS Bomet | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | APS Bomet | 54.2% |
| Draw | 33.2% | |
| Bandari | 12.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.1% |
| No | 73.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | APS Bomet win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.9% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 22.2% |
| 0-0 | 20.4% | |
| 2-0 | 13.9% |
APS Bomet vs Bandari stats
APS Bomet vs Bandari head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Bandari | APS Bomet | Kenyan Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-07 | APS Bomet | Bandari | Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.