Bandari
vs
Murang'a SEAL
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bandari
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Bandari vs Murang'a SEAL overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandari vs Murang'a SEAL
| Probability | Bandari | Draw | Murang'a SEAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 32.2% | 32.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.6% | 32.2% | 32.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Bandari vs Murang'a SEAL match preview
Bandari faces Murang'a SEAL in the Kenyan Premier League with both teams showing fluctuating recent form. Bandari's last five matches resulted in two draws, one win, and two losses, while Murang'a SEAL has secured two wins but also suffered three losses. According to our model, the probabilities for this match are Bandari at 36%, a draw at 32%, and Murang'a SEAL also at 32%. The expected goals are slightly in favor of Bandari at 1.11 compared to Murang'a SEAL's 1.04.
In terms of scoring, the most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Bandari, with a 12% chance of occurring. Additionally, there is a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring stands at 45%. Historically, Bandari has an advantage in their last two encounters, winning both matches against Murang'a SEAL.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bandari and Murang'a SEAL expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Bandari and Murang'a SEAL attack and defence ratings
Bandari
Murang'a SEAL
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bandari vs Murang'a SEAL markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandari | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandari | 35.6% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Murang'a SEAL | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bandari win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.5% |
Bandari vs Murang'a SEAL stats
Bandari and Murang'a SEAL recent form
| Bandari |
DLWLDD |
| Murang'a SEAL |
LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bandari vs Murang'a SEAL head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Murang'a SEAL | Bandari | Kenyan Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-04 | Bandari | Murang'a SEAL | Kenyan Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.